Jon Guze

Director of Legal Studies

Posts by Jon Guze (page 4)

  • Looks Like Maybe the “Peer Effect” Is Real After All

    The National Bureau of Economic Research has just released a study called “Schools, Neighborhoods, and the Long-Run Effect of Crime-Prone Peers.” Here’s the abstract: This paper examines how elementary-aged peers affect cognitive and non-cognitive outcomes from adolescence to adulthood. We identify effects by exploiting within-school and within-neighborhood…
    Jon Guze, April 8, 2019
  • Fracking Saves Lives

    Last month, the National Bureau of Economic Research published a working paper called, “Inexpensive Heating Reduces Winter Mortality.” Here’s the key finding: We find that lower heating prices reduce mortality in winter months. The estimated effect size implies that the drop in natural gas prices in the…
    Jon Guze, April 1, 2019
  • The Mueller Investigation and the Media

    Jon Guze, March 25, 2019
  • “The Perils of Zero-Sum Worldviews on the Left and Right”

    That’s the title of a thoughtful post by Ilya Somin on the Volokh Conspiracy blog. It’s well worth reading in its entirety, but here are a few excerpts: Some may find it surprising that the perpetrator of the recent horrific New Zealand terrorist attack that killed fifty…
    Jon Guze, March 20, 2019
  • “Do Lower Minimum Wages for Young Workers Raise Their Employment? “

    A study recently published in MIT’s Review of Economics and Statistics suggests the answer is, “Yes.” From the abstract: We estimate the impact of youth minimum wages on youth employment by exploiting a large discontinuity in Danish minimum wage rules at age 18, using monthly payroll records…
    Jon Guze, March 14, 2019
  • Talk About Fake News!

    In a recent Spectator article called “Lying with science: a guide to myth debunking,” Matt Ridley begins by observing that, “Pseudoscience is on the rise – and the media is completely hooked.” After quoting H.L. Mencken (‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence…
    Jon Guze, March 8, 2019
  • Vaccinations Do Not Cause Autism!

    That’s the conclusion of a study published today in the Annals of Internal Medicine. The study reports the results of following 657, 461 Danish children from 1999 to 2013. From the Abstract: Danish population registries were used to link information on MMR vaccination, autism diagnoses, other childhood…
    Jon Guze, March 5, 2019
  • Hate crime hoaxes are more common than you think.

    In a recent USA Today article about Jussie Smollett’s hate crime hoax, Wilfred Reilly, an associate professor of political science at Kentucky State University, says: That [the Smollett] case turned out to be a hoax shouldn’t come as too big of a shock. A great many hate crime stories…
    Jon Guze, February 28, 2019