Immigration and U.S. House seats

Paul Bedard of the Washington Examiner highlights a new report that tallies the potential impact of immigration on U.S. House representation, including North Carolina.

The 10-year surge in illegal and legal immigration has exploded the populations of mostly Democratic states enough that the 2020 Census is likely to result in the redistribution of 24 House seats in states President Trump won, according to a new population analysis released Thursday morning.

The prediction from the Center for Immigration Studies said that 26 seats overall will shift due to immigration increases since the last Census was taken. And it said that a minimum of 19 of those seats will be added to Democratic states. …

… CIS expects Ohio to be the biggest loser of House seats and California the biggest winner because many illegal and legal immigrants reside in California and the distribution of 435 House seats is based on the national population count. …

… Key predictions taken from the new report:

The presence of all immigrants (naturalized citizens, legal residents, and illegal aliens) and their U.S.-born minor children will redistribute 26 seats in the House in 2020.

Ohio will have three fewer seats in 2020, Michigan and Pennsylvania will have two fewer, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, and Wisconsin will each have one fewer seat.

California will gain 11, New York and Texas four, Florida three more seats, New Jersey two, and Illinois and Massachusetts will each have one additional seat.

Of the 26 seats that will be lost, 24 are from states that voted for Trump in 2016. 19 seats will go to the solidly Democratic states of California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Illinois.

Mitch Kokai / Senior Political Analyst

Mitch Kokai is senior political analyst for the John Locke Foundation. He joined JLF in December 2005 as director of communications. That followed more than four years as chie...

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