TIME’s Halperin judges the likelihood of an Obama-Romney matchup

The latest edition of TIME‘s “The Big Questions” features Mark Halperin‘s take on the most likely 2012 presidential matchup:

So are we headed for an Obama-Romney matchup?

There’s about a 75% chance that they’ll be the major-party nominees, but don’t fill out your scorecard just yet. Gingrich, Rick Perry and Jon Huntsman still have triple bank shots that could knock off Romney. And if anyone other than Romney wins the nomination, look for a major third-party or independent candidate. The newbie group Americans Elect will likely get a ballot slot for a candidate to be named in 2012. Amid one of the most volatile periods in modern U.S. political history, it’s way too soon to know where this is headed.

Mitch Kokai / Senior Political Analyst

Mitch Kokai is senior political analyst for the John Locke Foundation. He joined JLF in December 2005 as director of communications. That followed more than four years as chie...

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